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| | | | | |  Greetings! Welcome to December. We got this jam-packed newsletter into your hands early in the month, before the "busy"-ness of the season kicks in. Once again, this edition of the Canadian Real Estate Insider gives you the latest research to watch, and provides you with specific links to the most recent research by the REIN™ Research Team and other well-respected research from across the country. Read right to the end (or you can view it online), as there are some additional bonuses for action takers listed within this newsletter. The research released this month tells you exact neighborhoods that will do well, so please don't miss it. A quick note regarding a couple of big milestones from members of the Real Estate Investment Network™. Members of REIN™ have now surpassed the $2.256 billion mark (yes, billion) in Real Estate purchases (based upon purchase price... to say nothing of the market value). This is a tremendous accomplishment as members of REIN™ have added over 5,258 properties in the past 12 months. By running a few numbers on my calculator, that looks like over 438 quality properties per month and more than 14.5 properties per day. These numbers are quite impressive and REIN™ members should each be congratulated on this accomplishment. As impressive as that number sounds, REIN™ Members have also demonstrated significance in giving back to the community. At the most recent ACRE System in Edmonton the almost 900 people in attendance raised over $61,000 for Habitat for Humanity (that is over 60% of a house). Through generous donations from ACRE System attendees, members of REIN™ and 100% of the Royalties from our first two best-selling books Real Estate Investing in Canada & 97 Tips for Canadian Real Estate Investors, to date we have all helped raise over $311,000 for Habitat for Humanity. These funds go a long way to giving a hand up to many deserving families at this important time of the year. Here is a special note from Brenda Netter- Director of Development, Habitat for Humanity: Dear Don, We are so thrilled to tell you that we just ran the numbers and the ACRE System conference raised just over $61,000! It was a great event and we are so grateful for the support we receive both personally from you and from the many REIN™ members. THANK YOU FOR YOUR GENEROSITY AND YOUR CONTINUED SUPPORT OF HABITAT! You are greatly appreciated. Brenda (Habitat for Humanity Edmonton) This is a busy time of the year for investors, what with running your real estate business alongside of everything else that comes your way during the holiday season. There are major shifts occurring in the marketplace across the country including the U.S. sub-prime "crisis", uncertainty with Ontario Automotive industries, questions about whether the Canadian interest rate will go up or down, and a record high Canadian dollar. What does it all mean to us as real estate investors? Quite clearly, that's what we are here to answer and that's why it's important to stay on top of all the upcoming research and trends during the winter season as we will be releasing un-biased research through the winter that will quickly cut through the hype and fear and show you where the opportunities are. Click here for a direct link to the events calendar. Bookmark this page and check back frequently. Congratulations to all the new subscribers to the Canadian Real Estate Insider. By being a subscriber to this newsletter, you'll be able to stay informed on any upcoming trends and shifts in the Canadian Real Estate marketplace. All this while reducing your risks and taking only the right action, during the upcoming year of focus for you. Ready for Release! 51 Success Stories from Canadian Real Estate Investors is now ready for release! That's right! 51 Success Stories from Canadian Real Estate Investors, published by Wiley, is ready for release on December 6. This is an exciting new release in the Real Estate Investing in Canada series. It outlines exact steps that these average Canadian investors took, and the mistakes they made along the way, on their journey to success. 51 lessons in one book. This is a fantastic and inexpensive way to learn from those who have forged the pathway ahead of you. If you are looking for a simple 'feel-good' real estate success story book, this is not it. However, if you are looking to gain insights from other people's good and bad experiences with investing in real estate along with detailed action steps so you avoid the mistakes they made and repeat their successes, then this is exactly the right book for you. To order this book directly from Amazon, click here and save 37% off the cover price. Or, click here to read more of the details on this book and to find out what the bonus gifts you receive once you register your personal copy. How Transportation Changes Affect Real Estate Values - Special Edmonton Download Report Don R. Campbell, Canadian Best-Selling Author Following the success of the Vancouver and Calgary transportation reports, the REIN™ research team has just now finished another substantial research report covering the Edmonton marketplace and it is ready for you to download. We're working our way across the country, completing in-depth research for investors and homeowners and these first three will provide investors with an opportunity to get a 15-20% premium on their property values. Right now our focus is on the major transportation changes occurring in cities across the country and how they will impact on the prices of real estate in select markets. The BC, Calgary, Edmonton, and the Ontario reports (early Spring 2008) are covered by the national media, but more importantly provide an insight into the future hot areas in each city. The neighborhoods that our research has identified will jump an additional 15 - 20% (over what the rest of the city's property does). In these reports we provide you not only the technical analysis, but we also boil it right down to tell you where and why in each region. In other words, we tell you exactly the neighborhoods to watch (and which ones to take action in!) To read just one of the dozens of articles covering these latest findings, click here. To download your copy of the full research report for no charge, click here. Five Essential Tips for Canadian Real Estate Investors As Don R. Campbell discussed with Helen Burnett in the Globe and Mail on November 21st: "Real estate prices are still breaking records across Canada, although higher interest rates are expected to affect the affordability of the residential sector through the end of this year and in 2008. The average property is expected to rise in value by more than 10 per cent this year and more than 5 per cent in 2008, says the Canadian Real Estate Association. Real estate expert Don Campbell, president of the Real Estate Investment Network and author of Real Estate Investing in Canada and 97 Tips for Canadian Real Estate Investors has several do's and don'ts for existing and aspiring real estate investors looking to get involved in this popular asset class." The 5 essential tips for Canadian Real Estate Investors include: 1. Study the market before you take action. 2. Never speculate, always invest. 3. Don't invest in a property just because it seems cheap. 4. Follow a long-term system. 5. Focus on cash flow, not equity appreciation. Flipping Houses - Much More Difficult Than It Appears on TV Don R. Campbell In a recent interview, Don R. Campbell was asked the following questions: 1. Can you provide some top-line information on the topic of flipping houses? 2. What types of buyers are involved in flipping? 3. What should people be wary of when flipping? 4. What are some property qualities that people should be aware of when purchasing in order to flip? What should they avoid? 5. In your experience, what are the benefits of renovating a home and then flipping it? 6. Do you have any final thoughts on flipping houses? 1. Can you provide some top-line information on the topic of flipping houses? Flipping houses is a business fraught with risks and is not actually investing in real estate. It is pure speculation. Although they make it look somewhat easy on the multitude of TV shows, it really isn't. That is why HGTV are changing the formats of a number of these shows because the risks have recently really started to take their toll on the people in the shows. Here are some key points that are not discussed much (as a matter of fact, not discussed at all in many cases.) - Renovation estimates are varying wildly right now. In fact, due to the labor shortages across the country, it is becoming increasingly difficult to get reliable suppliers and contractors who can actually finish on time and on budget. a. Every time there is a delay (and there will be!) the person who bought the property loses another month of outbound cash (i.e. mortgage payments, taxes, heat, electricity, etc.) b. Every time there is an increase in the budget (which there will be) it takes directly away from the speculator's profit. - Often time speculators over-estimate their selling price and underestimate their reno and carrying costs. Here are some costs that are often forgotten: a. Closing costs at purchase (legal, tax adjustments, appraisals, mortgage costs, title insurance, etc.) b. Mortgage and tax payments during the holding period (could be substantial) with an extra 3 month buffer in case there are reno delays or it doesn't sell right away. - Vagaries of the market. Every real estate market goes through short and long term plateaus. If you happen to time your property wrong, you could be trying to sell your finished project at the exact wrong time (i.e. a dramatic increase in listings on the local MLS or a major layoff notice given to a major employer in the town.) A buy, hold and rent person will have analyzed this and have a long term hold view. A flipping speculator has only a short-term outlook and can get caught in the micro cycles that the market always goes through. As Warren Buffet says: "It's easy to see who has been swimming naked when the tide goes out." - A critical piece that is NEVER discussed is the tax implication of flipping property. When buying a property for a buy-hold-rent strategy - a long term strategy - the ultimate profits that you make are, in most cases, taxed as Capital Gains (i.e. only 50% of the profit is taxed at your tax rate). However, as a buy-renovate-flip speculator, the CRA is very clear that any profits will be taxed fully as business income, which is tax on 100% of the profit (not 50%) PLUS the flip-property can be deemed as 'inventory' by the CRA and therefore they can disallow the carrying costs of the property while you renovated it (i.e. you won't be able to write off the mortgage interest or any other carrying cost). OUCH! That sure cuts into the flipper's bottom line substantially. But most don't factor that in when running their budgets. 2. What types of buyers are involved in flipping? Short-term speculators and those just interested in trying to make what they perceive to be easy money. However, the above four points need to be brought to their attention so they factor them into their plan (and thus may not be as much money or as easy money as they think) 3. What should people be wary of when flipping? See above 4 points. PLUS, if they are not experienced in the building and renovations trades, underestimating their costs could be financially devastating. In our Renovation Secrets Package, we provide investors with complete checklists (Flip Analyzer and Costing Sheet) and Building Inspection Forms along with very detailed estimation tools so they don't get caught 'swimming naked.' In fact, we even tell them exactly how to analyze the market before they buy. 4. What are some property qualities that people should be aware of when purchasing in order to flip? What should they avoid? Although most properties can be repaired (at a cost), in order to avoid the big surprises they should make sure they avoid at least the following (source: REIN™ Renovation Secrets): a. Foundation issues: i. Vertical Cracks that are larger than ¼" wide and if there are more than 5 per basement. More than that spells potential huge trouble. ii. Horizontal Cracks are a sign that the wall is under stress from inward or outward pressure and buckling. The bottom line is, unless you have very deep pockets and you don't mind solving huge potential problems, avoid these properties at all cost. iii. Disintegrating Concrete: if you can rub your hand on the wall and it starts to crumble or fall apart, this house very likely will need MAJOR foundation work, which means major costs. b. Bowing Roof Trusses: if the roof line is bowing or sagging, the house quite possibly will require new roof trusses or extensive structural repair. c. Extreme Settling Problems: if windows or doors are not closing properly, door jams look crooked, floors are very uneven, this is a sign of major settling issues and repairs, which could be very expensive. In these cases a professional engineer inspection should be done before you buy the house. d. Additions that are not done correctly: many older homes have additions that have not been built on proper footings or pilings. They slowly start to pull away from the house as the two parts of the building settle at different rates. Sometimes this is an easy fix, but in most cases it involves a major cost/reno to fix it. 5. In your experience, what are the benefits of renovating a home and then flipping it? If done right, and the speculator has learned all of the strategies and is following a proven system (rather than hoping for the best) that covers everything from what properties to buy, to accurate renovations estimations, to what to renovate and what to leave, to selling the house fast, to profits tax considerations. Flipping can lead to some good profits, but at a relatively high risk. The key is, if you are going to attempt this, don't just jump in; use a Canadian-proven system, or learn directly from someone with extensive experience (who ISN'T trying to sell you a property or do a Joint Venture with you because then they may be just getting you to 'do the work' for them). Also, have a large buffer account for the inevitable hiccups. Click here to learn more about Renovation Secrets. I speak to thousands of investors and speculators every year and one of the biggest regrets I hear is the money lost on what they believed was the perfect flip opportunity. The second one is "If only I had hung on to the property and rented it out, I could have made SO much more money over the years." 6. Do you have any final thoughts on flipping houses? I think that there is some money to be made in the buying and flipping of properties; however, it is not as easy as it looks on TV. The key is for the potential investor to ask themselves: 1. Do I have the talent, experience and the time to get the property accurately estimated and renovated if my contractor doesn't show up or finish on-time? 2. Am I OK with the risk of trying to sell the property fast in whatever market condition exists when it is ready? 3. Could I make more money (after the different tax benefits and holding periods) buying an older property, fixing it and then renting it out over the long term? 4. Who exactly am I going to sell my property to? (That way you know what renovations will be important to do and which ones you can ignore.) 5. Do I wish to add more stress to my life? 6. Can I afford to hold on to the property if the market is soft at the time I wish to sell it? I do know some people who have done very well with flipping, but in every case they were experienced in construction and they took the business seriously. It wasn't just an expensive hobby (which, often times is what these projects turn into). Even then, these successful flippers worked towards building their buy-hold-rent portfolio with their reno'd properties as they quickly identified the lower risk and higher return this gave them over the long term. First-Time Buyers Need To Get Creative To Own A Home Don R. Campbell A recent article that appeared in the Edmonton Journal featured Don R. Campbell. Don was interviewed and discussed some strategies how first time home owners can use to buy their first home. "The last two years of a run-up in housing prices across the country presents a dilemma for first-time buyers. Do you get in now or wait until you have more of a down payment to keep your mortgage payments lower? Another conflicting factor is the effect of rising interest rates on your calculation. Buying a home is never an easy decision, but one thing is clear: waiting is not really an option. That's because real estate values continue to rise faster than the ability of people to save money; even when the recent increases in listings and decreases in average prices are factored in, we're still going to witness an annual 20-per-cent increase in some areas of the country. Instead, first-time buyers need to get creative if they're going to achieve their dream of owning their own home. While some may wait and hope for the market to cool off, there are a number of strategies prospective home buyers can use to get in now. One need only look to Vancouver, where housing affordability is off the scales and buyers are employing a wide array of innovative ideas to get into the market." To read this entire article, click here. Mortgage 101 - Review of Some Mortgage Basics Barry McGuire Knowing The Basics Can Save You Undue Stress The mortgages you place on your properties can be for a substantial dollar amount. Knowing some of the rules and basics can be a substantial savings to your bottom line, and in your ability to sleep at night. Below is a list of 3 ideas that you will want to review, compiled from the perspective of a veteran Real Estate lawyer. 1. When buying a property "subject to financing" you want to know that you have a signed, unconditional mortgage commitment from your lender before removing that financing condition. Be aware that even when you have a signed, unconditional commitment, a lender can refuse to fund your mortgage based on new information they have obtained or on a change of lender policy. A very basic summary of mortgage law is that a lender does not have to fund your mortgage and can change their mind right up until the day of funding. In a recent case, a lender had approved the mortgage based on an "income-based" appraisal. Three days before closing, the lender decided they wanted a "direct comparison" appraisal. This appraisal lowered the value of the property by a substantial amount. The net result was that the borrower had to come up with another $52,000 to close his deal. Please note, this is a rare occurrence. Once a mortgage is unconditionally committed, lenders usually follow through. However, the above principles do apply. It is always best to have a plan B. 2. In two recent cases buyers removed their "subject to financing conditions" before having an unconditional commitment from the mortgage lender. In one case the purchase price was $535,000 but the lender valued the property at $375,000 based on their appraisal. They would only lend based on the price of $375,000. This buyer lost his $15,000 deposit as he could not come up with the enormous amount of cash required in this circumstance. In the second case, the purchase price was $285,000 and the appraisal came in at $255,000. This buyer could come up with the extra cash but it was difficult. Please remember that lenders will finance property based on the LOWER of the purchase price or the appraised value. Both these buyers made a mistake in removing their conditions before they actually had an unconditional mortgage commitment. Further, I could have improved their situation by adding the following clause to their real estate purchase contract: "Subject to a certified appraisal confirming value of property at the purchase price or more." 3. Many buyers are smart enough to get "pre-approved" with their lender before searching for a piece of property. The lender reviews your financial capability and decides how much money you can borrow. Let's say that you are approved to borrow $400,000. You are now equipped to go out and find property knowing that you can support a mortgage loan of up to $400,000. Please note, this does not mean that, no matter what property you find, a lender will lend $400,000! Once you find a piece of property, you bring your real estate purchase contract to the lender and apply for a specific mortgage loan on that property. Remember, the mortgage loan will be based on the lower of the purchase price or the appraised value. If you offer $480,000 for a piece of property and the lender says the property is worth $480,000 and you are applying for a conventional mortgage loan of 75% of the purchase price, the lender will lend you 75% of $480,000, which is $360,000. They will not lend you $400,000 even though you have the financial capability of carrying a $400,000 mortgage. If the lender's appraisal says that your $480,000 property is only worth $440,000, they will lend to you based on the appraised value of $440,000. 75% of $440,000 is $330,000. In both cases, even though you are financially approved for a $400,000 loan, a lender bases a loan on the lower of the offer price or the appraised value. Barry McGuire is a Real Estate lawyer who has been helping Canadians for the past 35+ years. Barry is a co-author of the Canadian best-selling book 97 Tips for Canadian Real Estate Investors. The Latest on the Sub-Prime 'Crisis' Including a Humorous Overview Don R. Campbell As a subscriber to the Canadian Real Estate Insider, you have read my insights on the sub-prime mortgage 'crisis' (i.e. it will get worse before it gets better, etc.) If you have not read my thoughts on this, click here to read the full article. Has the pendulum swung too far already? Read the attached for a balanced view. This comes from the very respected Ben Tal (CIBC World Markets). Click here to download this article. Just so you are aware, the headlines will be getting worse before they get better. There were $263 Billion of U.S. floating loans that reset between January and August 2007. This is just the tip of the iceberg, as there is $700 billion of these same types of loans that come due for reset from September 2007 to December 2008 (source: Bank of America Securities). For a humourous look into the sub-prime issue, Here's a link to the 'Long John's overview of the Banking Industry. The funniest and saddest piece of this sub-prime explanation is that it is a true overview of the ridiculousness of the market and why the banks find themselves in the position they're in. Enjoy. Final Thoughts Don R. Campbell Once again, by focusing on long-term fundamentals and not short-term thinking, investors are doing incredibly well in regions all across the country. More listings in Edmonton and Calgary are providing wonderful buying opportunities, the continued strong demand across the Greater Toronto Area supports the price escalations in key cities and neighborhoods and in BC, those who study the Real Estate Insider's research know exactly where to buy and where to avoid at all costs. Congratulations on not getting too high when the market over-heats or too low when the market goes through its inevitable gyrations. By removing the obsessive 'Day-Trade' mentality out of your real estate investments, you will take advantage of market lulls and sell into market overheat situations (rather than the opposite, which the majority of the masses like to do.) See you on www.myreinspace.com and have a wonderful Holiday Season. Sincerely, Don R. Campbell and The REIN™ Team "Turning Real Estate Dreams Into Realities... One Investor At A Time!" Copyright 1996-2007 by Real Estate Investment Network. All rights reserved. P.S. As mentioned earlier in the newsletter, 51 Success Stories is now ready for release. Thanks in advance for being a part of this. Click here to order your books. As each and everyone of you know, 100% of the royalties are donated directly to Habitat for Humanity. So Habitat also thanks each one of you in advance for helping a deserving family receive a hand up. P.P.S. Remember, the www.myreinspace.com forums are up and running, where you can communicate and learn from your fellow investors from across the country. The public area is FREE for you and if you are a REIN™ Member, you have access to 200% more on that site in the Members' Only Zone. So you don't miss out on the latest real estate trends and research, make sure you're registered at www.myreinspace.com. P.P.P.S. Please feel free to forward this edition of the newsletter to everyone you know who would find value in having this knowledge. Then they can subscribe to this newsletter (and receive the early-bird notification of this research release) by clicking on this link and completing the form We'd love to hear what you think of this issue. Please send your comments, questions, and ideas for upcoming issues to info@reincanada.com Your feedback matters to us. What would you like to hear more about?. | | | | | |
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