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The Top 6 Lessons
Learned From 2009!
The Upside To The Downturn...
Will Lessons Be Learned or Discarded?
So here we sit, a short time after the Bank of Canada has
declared, "The Recession is Over." Technically they are right,
but on the street many Canadians will continue to feel the
effects for many months to come.
In fact, over the coming 12 months Canadians will experience
"The Big W" Rollercoaster. On this economic ride we'll
experience one week where it seems we are on the top of the
world (i.e. OECD states that Canada's economic growth will lead
the G7 Countries) followed by a fast ride down as negative news
continues (i.e. unemployment rate creeps up towards 10%).
This up and down cycle will continue throughout 2010 and by 2011
the ride will start to smooth out and return to normal. However,
during these next 12 months, make sure you study the lessons
learned during this past recession so you will not be destined
to repeat the pain.
So, what did we learn from this steep downturn? The answer is,
most investors learned they didn't really have their down-side
covered or their upsides maximized.
The biggest, and most important lesson we can all learn is to
Never Get Too High When The Market Is Good - Or Too Low When The
Market Underperforms - Letting the market drive your emotions is
a sure-fire way to disaster.
In order to ensure you never get caught again, read below to
discover the 6 big lessons from 2009.
Lesson #1 - Beware of Chicken Littles. On
September 15, 2008 (only 16 months ago), Lehman Brothers
declared bankruptcy and the Chicken Littles hit the streets, the
airwaves and the internet declaring that the world was about to
end. Yes, it is true the picture looked bleak; some would say it
still does.
Fear is a very powerful emotion, and one that these people used
to grab your attention. However, the result of those rants and
raves was that many Canadians froze in terror not knowing what
to do, so they got out.
Sadly many of these investors sold at exactly the wrong time and
now find themselves even farther into their financial holes.
These 'Chicken Littles' did nothing but cause chaos and deflate
financial dreams of their fellow Canadians, all for the sake of
a little publicity. Lesson: do your own homework; look for
opportunity, which leads to....
Lesson #2 - When Opportunity Arises, Strike.
Warren Buffet says it right when he preaches, "Be Fearful When
Others Are Greedy and Greedy When Others Are Fearful." Sure it
is difficult to take action when everyone all around you is
talking economic doom and gloom, but it is during downturns that
fortunes are made.
Just look at history, downturns never last forever, and this one
will not be the last we see in our lifetimes. Use today's fear
and confusion to position yourself to prosper before the next
one hits, doing nothing will get you nowhere. And the best way
is to ensure you are...
Lesson #3 - Following A System - It is Boring
Yet Most Profitable. Never, ever think you are smarter than the
market, especially in a positive market, because eventually it
will teach you a very tough lesson. Let's be honest, ANYONE
could have made money during those boom years, the market boom
covered up any mistakes. Then reality kicked in, the boom
stopped and suddenly anyone investing without a system found
themselves in financial trouble.
Once again, Warren Buffet says it succinctly, "You only find out
who is swimming naked when the tide goes out." In other words,
if you aren't following a system that works in all market
conditions you will be caught naked when the market changes.
Following a system is often considered 'boring' because so many
investors have that 'entrepreneurial' or type A personality and
they don't like so called restrictions. These were the ones
caught swimming naked when the inevitable downturn arrived.
So if you prefer to have consistent profits and minimized risk,
follow a system and stick with it through high times and low
times. Make your investing boring, so the rest of your life can
be exciting. And if you follow a system you quickly learn
that...
Lesson #4 - Investing Means Never Having To Line Up!
Whenever you line up to buy anything in life, you
immediately give all of your power away. The economic supply and
demand pendulum swings WAY out of your favour leaving you with
paying over market price and having no control.
During the 'Boom Years of Real Estate' right before the downturn
you would see people lined up around the block with dollar signs
in their eyes, just hoping to put a deposit down on a property
that hadn't even been built yet. Most were driven by the greed
of making a quick buck. Wow, did that ever turn into a mistake
for thousands across the country.
I hope we all learned the lesson that buying in a frenzy leads
to very little due diligence, no opportunity to negotiate and an
investment that is totally out of your control (especially now
that many of these projects have been cancelled, dropped in
value or led to lawsuits).
If the market stays hot you might get lucky, if the market cools
or drops you are left with nothing but panic. Never give your
power away to anyone because...
Lesson #5 You are in the 'Business of Real Estate
Investing.' Although CRA deems income from real estate
investing as passive business income, the reality is that
generating cash flow from property is anything but. From the
moment you purchase your first investment property (whether with
a corporation or personally) you are in business. You have
revenue, expenses, customers, suppliers, market research and
financing issues that you must stay on top of.
Your job, as the President of your company, is to maximize
profit while minimizing risk. If you kept that thought process
during the boom times, you would have also protected yourself
for the inevitable recession by buying strong positive cash-flow
properties.
By thinking of investing as being a business (rather than a
speculative gamble) you would never have been caught 'naked' in
the downturn and would have actually used the downturn to your
advantage. Manage your business, whether it contains one
property or 500, invest for cash flow and always...
Lesson #6 - Invest In Areas With A Future, Not A Past.
Choose your investment regions wisely. The region in which you
invest is just as important as how you invest. But often times
unsophisticated investors purchase properties because the
property seems cheap.
Sophisticated investors keep perspective and only buy properties
that have fantastic potential. During this downturn all regions
across the country were hit, however those with strong potential
are the ones that will recover most quickly and with the
strongest economic foundation.
The rollercoaster ride will not be as dramatic in these well
researched regions (like those listed in our Top Investment
Towns Reports). The regions that were hot during the boom, yet
did not have underlying economic strength have left investors
gasping for air during the downturn.
Those who bought in regions based on economic fundamentals and
research now look like investing geniuses. They may not have had
as dramatic of an upswing during the boom but during the
downturn their downside has been muted as well, and their
positive cash flow helped buffer it all.
These are just 6 of the many lessons that I trust all Canadians
learned during this deep downturn in the market.
The pendulum swung too far into the positive during the boom,
driven by greed, and it swung too far into the negative during
the downturn, driven by fear. Learn the lessons that this
recession has taught us and never let emotions drive your
investment decisions... both fear and greed will drive you down
the wrong path.
Promise yourself that when the inevitable boom comes, you don't
get too excited, and when the next recession hits (and you know
it will) you can just confidently smile because you learned the
lessons that this deep recession has taught us all. Decades from
now you can tell your kids and grandkids that you survived the
deepest recession in decades and it taught you well.
To Your Success
Don R Campbell
President
Real Estate Investment Network
1-888-824-7346
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